Upper Low Problems

We saw a nice break after the big rains of the past few days. Sunshine was nice to see with highs climbing into the 70’s.  But, this was just a little breather.  There is more rain on the way as the next phase of this storm system begins to affect the area overnight tonight and on Friday.  A big, cold upper area of low pressure, up in the 20,000 foot level will dominate the forecast for the next couple of days. 

Clouds will roll back tonight along with the threat of more scattered showers.  Tomorrow, with warm air at the surface and cold air aloft, the stage is set for scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some storms could be strong or possibly severe, and there could be some hail in the stronger storms.  There could even be a few spotty showers as cooler air moves in on Friday night and Saturday with mostly cloudy skies.  Highs will cool down to near 60 for a high. 

Attention Spring Breakers:  The weather pattern starts to improve on Sunday as partly cloudy skies and highs in the middle 60’s  Much of the week ahead should be storm-free with plenty of sunshine and highs mainly in the 60’s.

500mb_dy2

One More Round?

All week we’ve been dealing with the large and complex storm system as it slowly works its way through the eastern half of the country.  So far, as expected we have seen several rounds of rain with this system bringing between one and two inches of rain to Columbus.  Other parts of Georgia and Alabama have seen even more rain along with localized flooding.

It looks as though our area will have one more shot at some showers on Friday.  This could even include a few strong thunderstorms in a brief window of higher instability during the middle part of the day.  After that, we should be dry for the weekend.

Models do not show any dramatic drying of the atmosphere coming in, so expect cloudiness to linger into Saturday, although there will be some sunshine.  Sunday may be the better of the two days.  Temperatures will drop back down to the 60s for daytime highs as cooler air works its way in.  For next week we just may be able to avoid any major storm systems though rain cannot be ruled out entirely late in the week.

kschmitz@wtvm.com

River Flooding Forecast

BULLETIN – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
640 AM CST THU MAR 11 2010

…THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ALABAMA RIVER AT MONTGOMERY…

.HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THE PAST 36 HOURS CONTINUES TO CAUSE THE
ALABAMA RIVER TO RISE…AND A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT AT
MONTGOMERY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND…DON’T DROWN.

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS MORNING.

..FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE ALABAMA RIVER AT MONTGOMERY.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON…OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
CANCELLED.
* AT 6 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 35 FEET.
* FORECAST…RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
TO RISE TO NEAR 38 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING . THE RIVER WILL FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT…AT 35 FEET…EXTENSIVE OVERFLOW OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA
BEGINS. FLOODING OF THE GOLF COURSE AT MAXWELL AIR FORCE BASE AND
ALONG PORTIONS OF RIVER ROAD OCCURS AT STAGES OF 30 FEET AND HIGHER.

AM Update

7 DAY BLOGGER

Morning rain, then decreasing clouds today.  Another round of showers with a chance of isolated storms on Friday.  Saturday brings a slight chance of showers.  Sunday through much of next week we are expecting variably cloudy to partly cloudy skies.

Mickey Ferguson, FOX6 Weather

myfoxal.com    myfoxstorm.com

More Severe Storms Tomorrow

The focus will be on East Alabama tomorrow with a risk of strong to severe storms.  The primary threats will be hail and damaging winds.day2otlk_0700  We’ll keep you updated.

James-Paul Dice
Fox 6 Chief Meteorologist

Tornado Watch Cancelled for All Alabama Counties.

The NWS in Birmingham, in coordination with the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK, has decided to drop all Alabama counties from the existing Tornado Watch. There are numerous storms to our west in MS, however, so those will need to be monitored as we head towards morning.

Jason Kelley
Fox6 Meteorologist
jkelley@wbrc.com

24-Hour Rainfall in Shelby Co.

One of the worst hit parts of the Fox 6 viewing area has been Shelby Co.  Rain gauge measurements have ranged in the 4-8″ category.  At the Shelby County airport, 5″ of rainfall has been recorded.  NEXRAD estimates from KBMX indicate totals in excess of 6″ around Pelham and Chelsea.

James-Paul Dice
Fox 6 Chief Meteorologist
james.dice@wbrc.com

Wed_Mar_10_21h08m24_2010

New Tornado Watch, Replacing Existing Watch, In Effect Until 2am

Removes counties in AL basically east of I-65…

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 25
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
725 PM CST WED MAR 10 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN ALABAMA
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 725 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CST.

TORNADOES…HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER…THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH…AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF MONTICELLO
ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER…A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 21…WW 22…WW 23…WW
24…

DISCUSSION…ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE TO AFFECT PARTS
OF WESTERN AL AND EASTERN MS…ALONG AND NORTH OF WEAK SURFACE
BOUNDARY. THESE STORMS WILL PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE HOURS WHILE NEW
SEVERE ACTIVITY SPREADS INTO WATCH AREA FROM THE WEST. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION…WITH SUFFICIENT
LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR FOR A RISK OF SUPERCELLS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES OVERNIGHT.

Updated Watch until 2am.

ww0021_overview_wou

New Tornado Watch Until 2 AM.

ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

     BIBB                 CHOCTAW             CLARKE
     DALLAS               GREENE              HALE
     MARENGO              MONROE              PERRY
     PICKENS              SUMTER              TUSCALOOSA
     WASHINGTON           WILCOX              

https://nwschat.weather.gov/watch.php?year=2010&num=25